KK being 70/30 but that 30% is not just because of the chance to hit an Ace. You were talking about preflop equity of A7 vs. Hey guys are there decimals attached to that 29%? Or did you round up from 28%? Which is the realistic one when you don't know the folded cards. With 34 unknowns, and 3 Aces among them, the first card has a 31/34 chance to be a non-Ace and a 3/34 chance to be an Ace.ġ - ( 31/34 * 30/33 * 29/34 * 28/33 * 27/32) = 39%Īnd I used 50 for my denominator in the first example instead of 48 (we know villain's cards) so the 42% is off too. You might not think this is applicable to actual play, but it's an answerable question with the parameters given. Look, he's asking for something very specific - how often will someone with something like A5 vs KK hit an A, given that none of your opponents has an ace. The odds for the first card coming out a non ace are therefor 28/31, not 31/50 ![]() ![]() ![]() The key is that there 31 non-ace cards and 3 ace-cards in the remaining deck. The number is meaningless because you did the calculation wrong.
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